P-Value Calculator

Turn a test statistic into a p-value — and see which tail it lands in.

p-value

A p-value is evidence against the null hypothesis. It is not the probability that the null is true, and it says nothing about how large or important the effect is.

One tail or two?

Use a two-tailed test when you care about a difference in either direction — the usual default, and the honest choice unless you decided otherwise before seeing the data. Use a one-tailed test only when a difference in the opposite direction would be meaningless to you.

The shaded region on the curve is exactly what the p-value measures. Switching from two-tailed to one-tailed halves the p-value, which is precisely why choosing the tail after looking at your results is not legitimate.

What p actually measures

The p-value is the probability of seeing a result at least this extreme if the null hypothesis were true. A small p means your data would be surprising under the null — that is all. It is not the probability that the null is true, not the probability your finding will replicate, and not a measure of effect size.

A p of 0.049 and a p of 0.051 are essentially the same evidence; the 0.05 line is a convention, not a discovery threshold. Report the interval alongside the p-value and you give the reader something far more useful.

Frequently asked questions

My p-value shows as scientific notation — what does 3.2e-5 mean?

It means 0.000032. Very small p-values are shown that way because the decimal form becomes unreadable, and the exact table below gives the full precision.

Can I rely on this for coursework or research?

Verified against published critical values for one and two-tailed tests. One-tailed and two-tailed give different answers, and which is correct depends on the hypothesis, not the data.

Is my data uploaded?

No. The test statistic never leaves your machine.

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